Swansea City vs West Ham will play as part of the England championship 18th round
We are sure to see a bright match and plenty of goals at the Liberty Stadium.
There is definitely some background this match to be an aerial one. Both teams are far from being high in the standings. The home team got only 12 points after 17 rounds and they are the penultimate in the standings. The guests, in its turn, got 19 points and occupy 13th place, being rather a weak result for the Hammers. Therefore, both the teams will play to win. Besides, West Ham will be even more motivated to revenge Swansea for the defeat in the Premier League 37 round of last season. The Swans killed all the Hammers chances of getting into the top four then.
The unreliable defense is the reason for the teams’ poor results. West Ham and Swansea miss this season more than the previous one. The Swans conceded 52 goals in 38 matches, an average of 1.37 goals per game in the former Premier League. Team performance is as follows now: 37 conceded goals in 17 games, that is, an average of 2.17 goals per match. The Hammers performance is as follows: 51 conceded goals last season (an average of 1.34 goals per game), and already 31 conceded goals this season (an average of 1.82 goals per match). Surely, it is not correct to compare full season with an incomplete one, but still there is a negative trend.
In my opinion, the Swans hastened with Guidolin resignation. They should have looked through the matches’ calendar, as Swansea still had 6 games in a row to play with the top 4, Southampton and the country current champion. Not surprisingly, the team almost didn’t have points. Robert Bradley came at last, Swansea became more interesting in the attack with him, but the defense fails even more now. Statistics will not lie. Swansea conceded 12 goals (an average of 1.7 goals per game) in 7 games under the Guidolin guidance, with Bradley they conceded 25 goals (average 2.5 per game) in the remaining10 games.
Swansea City defense failed in the games against strong opponents such as Tottenham and Manchester United (the defeats with a score of 3 -1 and 5 -0). At the same time they lost to such teams like Middlesbrough, West Brom, Crystal Palace, Stoke City tormented their defense (13 scored goals for the four of them). The Swans conceded 15 balls in the last 5 matches, so only Sunderland, scoring few now, were unable to crack their defense. As a result, the hosts can hardly count on a clean sheet with West Ham.
The Swans attacking line is not as bad as the defense. There are 20 scored goals in 17 games on club’s account, 8 ones scored in the last 2 home games. Swansea could not score in 5 of the 17 season games. Although the team scored MU, MC, Liverpool, scored double in games with Arsenal and Chelsea. Llorente scored 4 goals in the last 2 matches at Liberty Stadium. Fer returned to the game (6 goals), and the player is ready to play the full 90 minutes. Well, and the best Swansea player Sigurdsson is all right now, having 5 scored goals alongside with 6 assists. The hosts certainly have players to score.
And the Hammers defense line is neither brilliant, as I have written above. They succeeded to play clean sheets last 2 games, but their opponents were Hull City and Burnley, playing terribly in the away matches. Swansea City will not allow guests to own initiative as they did in recent games. The Hammers played 5 clean sheets this season, four of them at home. They conceded 17 goals in 8 away matches, played clean sheet only with Crystal Palace, which missed a penalty shot.
However, the Hammers scored at least one goal in 15 of 17 games, and the team does not leave the field without a goal for 8 games in a row. Though West Ham is not brilliant this season. The Bilic squad scored 10 goals in 8 away matches, and the team cracked such defenses as MC, MU, Chelsea, Tottenham and Liverpool. The Hammers face difficulties, the realization fails, but players are able to break through the Swans bad defense in the game.
Over 2.5 was settled 12 of the 17 Swans games this season, including in 6 matches at the Liberty Stadium. West Ham odds for the total is lower – 8 out of 17 matches were aerial, including 5 of 8 away matches. Swansea vs West Ham clashes don’t bring many goals. However, taking into account how bad the teams play in defense and eager to gain 3 points, the probability of total over 2.5 is still relatively high.
Swansea City to win odds: 1.35 at RealDealBet
Draw odds: 2.45 at TipBet
West Ham to win odds: 2.25 at YouWin
Under 2.5 odds: 2.20 at YouWin
Over 2.5 odds: 1.85 at RealDealBet